Neonatal Survival and ECMO - from Charles Koppleman
The data and description in this example are taken from
an example presented by Charles Koppleman at the Spring 1997 NCTM Regional
Meeting in Baltimore, MD.
When the respiratory system of a newborn (neonate) is not
fully developed or not operating properly at the time of birth, the newborn's
chances of survival are greatly reduced. One method of helping to correct
this life-threatening situation is to place the newborn on a heart-lung machine
called an Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation (ECMO).
The purpose of ECMO is to recirculate the blood and oxygenate it so that
the lungs can rest. However, given the fragile state of a newborn in severe
respiratory distress, the use of ECMO itself can be life-threatening. Therefore,
ECMO should only be used on those neonates for whom survival is most uncertain.
What are the factors that most influence the probability
of survival? Which factors should doctors use as guidelines for placing
a neonate on a heart-lung machine?
Eight tests were performed on 30 neonates born
with potentially life-threatening respiratory distress. Fourteen survived
and sixteen did not. Here are the descriptions of the tests:
Here are the data:
Status ID pH pCO2 pO2 BE IMV PL PEEP AaDO2
D 1 7.51 28 36 2 96 55 3 650
D 2 7.55 22 48 0 40 40 5 655
D 3 7.49 18 139 -5 65 33 3 569
D 4 7.47 29 66 0 68 41 7 620
D 5 7.37 32 47 -5 60 40 3 646
D 6 7.59 25 182 6 70 32 5 491
D 7 7.55 32 47 -7 75 45 5 634
D 8 7.40 21 75 4 120 45 7 614
D 9 7.54 20 88 -2 90 35 5 614
D 10 7.58 25 58 4 85 29 2 641
D 11 7.61 20 66 2 50 30 5 634
D 12 7.53 22 41 -1 45 45 5 651
D 13 7.53 21 33 -1 66 30 6 633
D 14 7.62 21 68 4 40 28 3 638
D 15 7.69 13 39 1 80 44 6 656
D 16 7.41 35 53 0 100 46 3 633
L 1 7.52 25 178 0 65 32 3 452
L 2 7.53 25 48 2 47 30 5 645
L 3 7.51 21 56 -2 80 35 5 637
L 4 7.46 25 65 -3 55 30 5 618
L 5 7.69 14 40 2 80 32 4 657
L 6 7.55 16 151 -4 67 30 5 528
L 7 7.58 15 281 -7 46 26 6 385
L 8 7.38 26 130 -7 55 33 6 551
L 9 7.64 18 222 3 60 24 4 436
L 10 7.48 25 70 -2 60 32 5 621
L 11 7.52 20 107 -2 100 48 6 594
L 12 7.42 38 59 1 55 23 4 571
L 13 7.52 26 38 -3 40 47 5 656
L 14 7.72 22 43 12 87 45 4 648