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Ivo Dinov
UCLA Statistics, Neurology, LONI, Math/PIC

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STAT 35 Spring 2009	*Interactive and Computational Probability*
Department of Statistics	Instructor: Ivo Dinov
Homework 5 - Creative Project	Due Date: Friday, June 05, 2009

Please, submit your paper project before class or via email, on the due date.
See the HW submission rules. On the front page include the following header.

(HW_5) This is a creative paper project that will demonstrate your thinking about carrying out a real scientific study. You have to identify a problem, phenomenon or a challange that is of interest to you. Then gather, analyze and present data about the process you have chosen. Think of appropriate methods for modeling hte data, making predictions based on your models and drawing some conclusions about your study. It is completely up to you to come up with an interesting project that you complete by the deadline. Here are the basic requirements your project must satisfy:

Please submit your project nicely typeset, including text/tables/graphs, in the form according to our HW assignment policies. No hand-written reports will be accepted.
Examples of projects (this is not an exclusive list):

Investigate the change of the level of various disinfectants, by-products, contaminants, chemicals, micro-organisms, pesticides, radioactive contaminants or other substances which may be added or naturally occurring in H₂O, across the years (say 1998-2008) in our tap drinking water.
Study the dynamics of the human populations for the past 100 years. Make predictions for the future.
Analyze the prevalence or gender preference of one particular type of cancer.
Study the effects of over fishing.
Crime rates, geographic distributions and severity.
Education changes in the past decade.
Stock market volatility.
Earthquake modeling.

Examples of online resources containing interesting data:

SOCR Wiki Data Resource http://wiki.stat.ucla.edu/socr/index.php/SOCR_Data
US EPA www.epa.gov/safewater/Pubs/General.html
Human Development Reports http://hdr.undp.org/en/
National Center for Health Statistics http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/express.htm
Washington State Department of Health http://www.doh.wa.gov/Data/data.htm
Commercial Fisheries http://www.st.nmfs.gov/st1/commercial/landings/annual_landings.html
UCLA Statistics Department Data Archive: http://www.stat.ucla.edu/data/
US Education data http://nces.ed.gov//pubs2002/digest2001/
US Census Bureau (econ, population, geographic, health data) http://www.census.gov/
Stock Market http://www.londonstockexchange.com/en-gb/products/marketdata/
Bureau of Justice Statistics http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs
Statistics Resources Online http://www.lesley.edu/library/guides/research/statistics.html

Format: Include the regular HW project cover page. Start with a one paragraph abstract, followed by an intro/background of the problem, methods, results, discussion/conclusion and acknowledgments, references, in that order. Clearly state the problem you have chosen to investigate. List the resources you used to come up with the project and reference all sources you used to complete the project.

One or two people can work on a project as a team. If two people work together both must have equally contributed for the completion and submit separate copies of the project, with their names on top (the names of both students should be on both papers). Needless to say expectations of team projects are higher.

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Instructor: Ivo Dinov