Syllabus. Statistics 19: Poker and Probability, Prof. Rick Paik Schoenberg.

Lectures: Mon 9am, Math-Science 3915a.

Texts:
1. Ross, Sheldon M. (1998). "A First Course in Probability", 5th ed. Prentice Hall, NJ.
2. Ferguson, T.S., Shapley, L.S., and Macqueen, J.B., editors (1996). "Statistics, Probability and Game Theory : Papers in Honor of David Blackwell," Institute of Mathematical Statistics Lecture Notes v. 30. Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Hayward.
3. David, F.N. (1962). "Games, Gods and Gambling : the Origins and History of Probability and Statistical Ideas from the Earliest Times to the Newtonian Era." Griffin, London.

Office hours: Mondays, 10-11am, MS 8965.

email: frederic@stat.ucla.edu

Course webpage: http://www.stat.ucla.edu/~frederic/19/F05

This seminar will explore the fundamental concepts of elementary probability theory and statistics, which are useful in a very wide variety of scientific applications. Students will learn the basic foundations of probability, including the axioms of probability, the addition and multiplication rules, conditional probability, expected values, and combinatorics. In addition, we will discuss important statistical concepts such as the standard deviation, the law of large numbers, the central limit theorem, simulation, standard errors, and confidence intervals. All of these topics, which are broadly applicable in the sciences, will be motivated by examples of situations and concepts that arise naturally when playing Texas Hold'em, a game of strategy and chance whose complexity is surprising and whose popularity is rapidly increasing.