Syllabus. Statistics 19: Poker and Probability, Prof. Rick Paik Schoenberg.

Lectures: Mondays 1-1:50pm, Humanities A46.

Office hours: Mondays, 2:00-3:30pm, MS 8965.

email: frederic@stat.ucla.edu

Course webpage: http://www.stat.ucla.edu/~frederic/19/F08

This seminar will explore the fundamental concepts of elementary probability theory and statistics, which are useful in a very wide variety of scientific applications. Students will learn the basic foundations of probability, including the axioms of probability, the addition and multiplication rules, conditional probability, expected values, and combinatorics. In addition, we will discuss important statistical concepts such as the standard deviation, the law of large numbers, the central limit theorem, simulation, standard errors, and confidence intervals. All of these topics, which are broadly applicable in the sciences, will be motivated by examples of situations and concepts that arise naturally when playing Texas Hold'em.

Grading: There will be no written homework, no tests, and no quizzes. There will be weekly readings, class discussions, and a project which is described below. My only requirement, other than the project, is that each student must make some contribution to the class discussion every week.

Project: (Due by email on Friday, Nov 21, 11:00pm).
Design and write an R function which takes as inputs the variables listed and described at http://www.stat.ucla.edu/~frederic/19/F08/code1.html , and which returns an integer indicating a fold or all-in bet. Your code, once submitted, will be in the public domain and free for others to read and use. Submit your R function to me by email at frederic@stat.ucla.edu .

Note: your code must in some way be different from the examples online at the course website.

Students with learning disabilities must consult with the instructor by the 2nd week of class if special arrangements are required.