Grading. Statistics 221: Time Series Analysis, Prof. Schoenberg.

Class Participation (10%)
Project A -- data analysis (45%)
Project B -- article review (45%)

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Project A (due Friday March 3).
Find a time-series dataset and analyze it using some of the methods described in class, if they are relevant. Your report should contain 3-4 pages of text, plus as many figures as appropriate.
In selecting your dataset choose something that interests you, and have a main, answerable question in mind. Begin your paper with an introduction, a description of your data and how they were obtained, and a summary of the main question(s) to be addressed in your paper. Then summarize your analyses, paying very special attention to any assumptions you are making and the plausibility of those assumptions. Conclude by assessing how effective the methods you used were in helping to answer your main question(s).
You may use xlisp-stat, or any software of your choice, for your analysis.


Project B (due Friday March 17).
A reader comprised of several recent time-series papers will be distributed after the 2nd week of class. Read one of them carefully and critique it, in 2-3 pages of text.
In your critique, focus on whether the methods proposed are effective and whether any assumptions made are sensible. Take a stand, either heavily in favor or against the paper. Do NOT critique the clarity of the article or the author's writing style.
During the last week of lectures, the class will debate the merits of the methods proposed in the papers in the reader. As part of project B, you will be expected to give a 5-minute oral presentation in class, summarizing your opinion.


There will most likely be no extensions for the projects. Students who are unable to turn in their projects must consult with the instructor in advance, if possible.

Students with learning disabilities must consult with the instructor by the 2nd week of class if special arrangements are required.

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