E = our approximated quantile using p1 = .136 + .235q + q^2 + .0066min(n,10) - .05max(a,1). S = simulated quantile from 1M simulations each of n sums. R = the ratio E/S, And as always b=1. --------------------------------------------- The approximation (E) of the q-th quantile (e.g. q=.05) is made as follows: (1) p1 is computed as above. (2) p2 = q/p1. (3) y = b / (1-p2^(1/n))^(1/a) (4) mu = (a*b^a*y^(1-a)-a*b)/(1-a)/(1-b^a*y^(-a)) (5) s = sqrt((a*b^a*y^(2-a)-a*b^2)/(2-a)/(1-b^a*y^(-a))-mu^2) (6) E = s*qnorm(p1)*sqrt(n) + n*mu where qnorm(p1) means the p1-th quantile of the standard normal. ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- Summary of the results for this choice of p1: ---------------------------------------------- I chose a (i.e. alpha) = 0.5, 0.7, 0.9, 0.99, 1.01, 1.1, 1.3, 1.5, 1.7, 1.9, 1.99; q = 0.001, 0.01, 0.02, 0.03, 0.04, 0.05, 0.06, 0.08, 0.1, 0.2; n = 2, 5, 10, 20, 30, 50. So, a total of 11*10*6 = 660 different combinations. For most, the approximation (E) was within 1% of the simulated quantile (S). In fact, whenever n=10 or more, the approximation did well, with just a few exceptions. Also, whenever q was 0.05 or less, the approximation did well, again with just a few exceptions and these all were when n=2. For every value of a, the approximation started to have problems for n=2 when q=0.05 or so, and as q increased this problem increased. By the time q=0.1, the problem was very severe for n=2 and moderately severe for n=5. However, even when q=.2 the approximation worked well for n=10 or more. There were no special problems for values of a such as 0.99, 1.01, or 1.99. However, there were some problems for a=.5 (the smallest value I tried): for a=.5 and q=.1 or q=.2, there were problems for all n, and for a=.5 and n=2 or 5, there were big problems for most choices of q.