The Paranoid Traveller

Michael Godin Arlotto (154aamga@pic.ucla.edu)
Tue, 28 Nov 95 12:44:49 -0800

For this problem Ben I don't think we have to be concerned with n (the number
of bombs) and m (the number of flights). I think we just have to be concerned
with two different probabilities. I think by bringing in these variables it
adds confusion to the problem. First, we must figure out the probability that
some random terrorist will bomb the paranoid traveller's plane, and then the
probability that the paranoid traveller will bring a bomb on to the plane.
These two events are independent, so we only need to multiply the two
probabilities to reach the answer. Remember that the probability of the
paranoid traveller's bomb is not equal to the probability of some terrorist's
bomb (the paranoid traveller does not believe this to be true so this is where
his logic fails in the problem.)

I'll talk to ya soon,
Mike

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