Doors
John Hop-Doan Nguyen (154adjhn@pic.ucla.edu)
Fri, 01 Dec 95 15:39:20 -0800
This is in response to Mike's comment about the gameshow essay (awhile back
ago). He says that once you reach the point where you can decided between two
doors, the probability is either 1 (if you get the prize) or 0 (if you choose
the door with the goat). I'm not sure what Mike means about the contestant
following some "pre-determined strategy". Is the contestant doing what the
host wants he/she to do? Or is contestant have some plan already? Either way,
what Mike seems to say is that contestant has two probabilities when choosing a
door. This doesn't make sense. How can choosing a door have two probabilities
associated with it? If I'm unclear about this, please explain...
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