bombs
John Hop-Doan Nguyen (154adjhn@pic.ucla.edu)
Tue, 28 Nov 95 18:25:25 -0800
I agree with what Mike has to say regarding the probability of each traveller
bringing a bomb is independent. But according to Ben, his example shows the
probabilities being related, since once the paranoid traveller adds his bomb to
the mess, the probability increases from n/m to (n+1)/m.
And I still don't understand how Ben jumps to the conclusion that because the
paranoid traveller brings his bomb, it increases the "probability of some other
traveller having a bomb on his plane". The fact that the paranoid traveller
brings a bomb on the plane is known, so the probability is 1. How does that
increase the probability of another traveller bringing a bomb?
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