Statistics 10: Introduction to Statistical Reasoning
- First lecture is on Friday, 25 September 2015.
Location: BUNCHE 1209B.
Day/time: MWF 12:00 - 12:50.
See you then!
For the course syllabus click here.
Useful links:
For some of the labs you will need to access the Statistics Online Computational Resource (SOCR) at:
http://www.socr.ucla.edu
It's online, therefore it exists!
The labs are listed under the following link (instructions will be given as to which lab is due when etc. - mainly
distributions and experiments activities):
http://wiki.stat.ucla.edu/socr/index.php/SOCR_EduMaterials.
Probability and Statistics EBook.
Download R and packages.
Download RStudio.
Read this:
Numbers matter (text file).
Labs
Lab 1: Data analysis using R. Due on
Friday, 09 October, before 22:00.
Lab 1a: Solutions to lab 1.
Lab 2: Simple regression. Due on
Friday, 16 October, before 22:00.
Lab 2a: Solutions to lab 2.
Lab 3: North Carolina SIDS data and permutation test in
simple regression. Due on Friday, 10/23 before 22:00.
Lab 3a: Solutions to lab 3.
Lab 4: Binomial,
hypergeometric, normal distributions. Due on Sunday, 11/08 before 22:00.
Lab 4a: Solutions to lab 4.
Lab 5: Central limit
theorem. Due on Friday, 11/13 before 22:00.
Lab 5a: Solutions to lab 5.
Lab 6: Confidence
intervals. Due on Sunday, 11/22 before 22:00.
Lab 6a: Solutions to lab 6.
Handouts
1. "Statistics in the courtroom", by George Cobb and
Stephen Gehlbach.
2. Measures of central tendency and
variation.
3. Introduction to R.
4. Some R commands.
5. Practice problems - 1.
6. Introduction to regression
analysis.
7. Variability around fitted line.
8. Leverage values and outliers in regression - example.
9. Influential analysis - example.
10. Influential analysis - R commands for handouts 8 and 9.
11. Financial data.
12. Convert adjusted close prices into
returns.
13. Introduction to portfolio theory.
14. Example using stockPortfolio package.
15. Simulation-based inference
(permutation test).
16. Permutation test (test for beta1=1).
17. Article on simple regression analysis.
18. Practice problems - 1 - solutions.
19. Probability.
20. Probability - solutions.
21. Discrete random variables (introduction).
22. Practice problems - probability.
23. Discrete probability distributions
(only binomial and hypergeometric).
24. Normal distribution.
25. Binomial,
hypergeometric, normal distributions using R.
26. Normal
approximation to binomial - example using R.
27. Exam 1 - solutions.
28. Practice exam 2.
29. Linear combinations of normally
distributed random variables.
30. Central limit theorem.
31. Practice exam 2 - solutions.
32. Confidence intervals.
33. Bootstrap confidence intervals.
34. Confidence intervals for the difference in two
populaton means.
35. Confidence
intervals - answers to sample problems.
36. The chi-squared and t distributions.
37. Hypothesis testing.
38. Exam 2 - solutions.
39. Pracice problems: Confidence intervals
and hypothesis testing.
39a. Pracice problems: Solutions to #39.
40. Pracice problems: Hypothesis testing.
40a. Practice problems: Solutions to #40.
41. Lecture notes - 25 November.
41a. Lecture notes - 25 November.
42. Article related to the
paired-t test.
43. Testing for two population means.
44. Two sample test - example.
45. Analysis of variance (ANOVA).
46. ANOVA - example.
Homework
Homework 1: Due on Tuesday, 10/06.
Homework 1a: Solutions.
Homework 2: Due on Thursday, 15 October.
Homework 2a: Solutions.
Homework 3: Due on Tuesday, 03 November.
Homework 3a: Solutions.
Homework 4: Due on Thursday, 05 November.
Homework 4a: Solutions.
Homework 5: Due on Tuesday, 10 November.
Homework 5a: Solutions.
Homework 6: Due on Tuesday, 24 November.
Homework 6a: Solutions.
Homework 7: Due on Wednesday, 02 December.
Homework 7a: Solutions.
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Home page.